Rotterdam Marathon - a 2:04:47 for Patrick Makau
It's too early to produce any meaningful analysis of the Rotterdam race - Universalsports.com are showing it at 12pm ET, and I am hunting for splits and gaps as you read this, but just to update those who are interested, the race has been won by Patrick Makau of Kenya, in a time of 2:04:47 (unofficial).
I'll do my best to post our usual analysis later today if I can pull together enough information, but for now, it seems that the early pace was very fast - perhaps too fast, as we have seen reports that at 15km, the time was 43:56, and at 20km, 58:37.
Those times project to something in the range of 2:03:35, which would have seen the world record fall by a big margin. The pace then slowed, however, because we have a split at 30km of 1:28:55, which means the 10km section had been covered in 30:18 (which is 2:07:51 pace). It is interesting that they should slow down in this interval, because usually, the pace in a tactical race will slow only after 30km, when the pacemaker drops out (as we saw for Paris, only a few hours ago). So to slow between 20km and 30km suggests that maybe an instruction came (race director, favoured athletes?) to back off a little.
That is where the shot at the record fell away, though the racing in the last 10 km seems to have driven the pace right down again, and I have the final 12.2 km being covered at about 2:56/km.
So ultimately, Patrick Makau triumphed with Geoffrey Mutai in second, also sub-2:05 (2:04:53) and Kipruto in third. Four men went under 2:05:30, while the pre-race favourite, James Kwambai, was walking at one point.
We'll see in the footage later how all this unfolded. For now, any more detail would be way too speculative to be valuable!
Join us later for (hopefully) more splits and thoughts from Rotterdam!